JEE Main & Advanced Mathematics Probability Question Bank Self Evaluation Test - Probability-II

  • question_answer
    A is one of 6 horses entered for a race, and is to be ridden by one of two jockeys B and C. it is 2 to 1 that B rides A, in which case all the horses are equally likely to win. If C rides A, his chance of winning is trebled. What are the odds against winning of A?

    A) \[5:13\]

    B) \[5:18\]

    C) \[13:5\]

    D) None of these

    Correct Answer: C

    Solution :

    [c] Let E= the event that horse A wins \[{{E}_{1}}=\]the event that jockey B rides hors A \[{{E}_{2}}=\]the event that jockey C rides hors A According to question odds in favour of \[{{E}_{1}}=2:1\]
    \[\therefore P({{E}_{1}})=\frac{2}{3}\]
    and \[P\left( \frac{E}{{{E}_{1}}} \right)=\frac{1}{6}\] (Since, when B rides A, all six
    Horses are equally likely to win)
    \[P({{E}_{2}})=1-P({{E}_{1}})=1-\frac{2}{3}=\frac{1}{3}\]
    and \[P\left( \frac{E}{{{E}_{2}}} \right)=3P\left( \frac{E}{{{E}_{1}}} \right)=\frac{1}{2}\]
    Let \[{{A}_{1}}={{E}_{1}}\cap E\] and \[{{A}_{2}}={{E}_{2}}\cap E\]
    Now, required probability
    \[P(E)=P({{A}_{1}})+P({{A}_{2}})\]
    \[=p({{E}_{1}}\cap E)+P({{E}_{1}}\cap E)\]
    \[=p({{E}_{1}})P\left( \frac{E}{{{E}_{1}}} \right)+P({{E}_{2}})P\left( \frac{E}{{{E}_{2}}} \right)\]
    \[=\frac{2}{3}.\frac{1}{6}+\frac{1}{3}.\frac{1}{2}=\frac{5}{18}.\]
    So, that odds against winning of A are 13 : 5.


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